Posts Tagged ‘battle.net’

Duped Items In D3

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Uh oh. It looks like big time duping is occurring and there’s no Jay Wilson to be found.

Archiving this here because the thread on bnet will most likely be deleted.

http://us.battle.net/d3/en/forum/topic/6307521920

 

Update: there are now 6 different players known to have the same item.

http://us.battle.net/d3/en/profile/liemjunhao-6339/hero/18254046
http://us.battle.net/d3/en/profile/leej88-1875/hero/14708745

http://us.battle.net/d3/en/profile/insanity-1884/hero/11671090

http://us.battle.net/d3/en/profile/mosesyr-1925/hero/8430

https://us.battle.net/d3/en/profile/Faetal-1219/hero/22731568

http://us.battle.net/d3/en/profile/passermeaw-6696/hero/4952195

Check out their Offhand “Arcanum mind”. Probably one of the best sources in the game. Worth 500mill++

This thread will probably be deleted soon, but in an effort to hold the forum moderators at bay, I disclaim:

This is not a discussion of a “hack”, nor a method to dupe, or anything along those lines. It is merely a discussion of the observation that 6 players have the exact same godly item.

Update #2:
One of the item owner’s profiles is now unavailable?

https://us.battle.net/d3/en/profile/Faetal-1219/hero/22731568

“Profile Unavailable
The profile for this account is unavailable due to limited service availability.”

Update#3:

The player who’s profile was unavailable now works again.
This same player also has 2 of the same amazing rings.
Other players also have the same Ring “Damnation Shelter”:

http://us.battle.net/d3/en/profile/Brock-1229/hero/1102266

If anyone else sees other players with these items, please post, and I’ll update this thread. Hopefully it will catch the right person’s attention.

 

 

Now for the fun part:

Okay, the people that say that this is still “possible”. You’re “technically right”, but I don’t think you realize JUST how statistically unlikely this situation is. It’s so highly improbably that it might as well be impossible. I know some other people have attempted to calculate the statistical odds, but I think mine is the most accurate.

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ THE RARE NAME ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

“Rares names are randomized and it’s impossible to deduce the stats of your rare item from the name alone.” http://d3db.com

In D2 there were 43 possibilities for the beginning word, and around 10 possibilities for the end word (varied based on item type) for rares. If we were to assume Diablo 3 has a similar range of possible rare names:
Chance of having the same name per item type = ~1/430.

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ HAVING 6 AFFIXES ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

Chance that the rare Demi Lich dropped with 6-affixes – ~1/10.

I’m not sure why the item has 4 prefixes and 2 suffixes. It’s either because rare items work differently than in D2 and are allowed different combination of prefixes and suffixes instead of 3 and 3, rare prefixes/suffixes don’t always correspond to magic ones, there’s some exceptions made with stats for affixes, or the database mislabeled one or more affixes as being prefixes when they were really not (less likely as they’re data rips, and I double checked the affixes from other sources).

————-

You can’t have the same affix type twice, so each rolled affix will decrease the total pool of affixes with each subsequent roll. Since order doesn’t matter in the rolls, there’s a lot of ways the affixes could have been rolled and end up with the same overall item, and I’m not willing to calculate all that and average the possibilities. So what I’m going to do is average the total loss of affixes from the pool on each roll, and just use that as a base figure.

Prefixes #1-4: (2 + 9 + 10 + 7)/4 = 7
Suffixes #1-2: ((16+11)/2 + 15)/2 = 14.25

Odds of rolling a certain affix were calculated based off this database:

http://diablonut.incgamers.com/affixes/adventure-and-stats

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ THE BASE DAMAGE ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

+95-387 Damage

Damge on Demi Lich ranges from +(28-110)–(29-405)

Chance of min damage on item being 95 = 1/83.
Chance of max damage on item being 387 = 1/310.
Total chance: 1/25730

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ AFFIX #1 ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

+153 Intelligence

(Lowest Int that affixes Int 10-16 can be while staying in range of 153 is 83, highest it can be is 101)
Int 10 = 82-91 Int
Int 11 = 92-101 Int
Int 14 Secondary = 78-83 Int
Int 15 Secondary = 84-89 Int
Int 16 Secondary = 90-100 Int

IntVit I = 12-55 Int
IntVit II = 15-70 Int

Rolling the prefix = 5/165 (1st)
Rolling 83-101 = (1/6 + 9/10 + 1/1 + 1/1 + 1/1)/5 = 61/75
Rolling matching counterpart to above from IntVit I/II to total 153 int = (1/44 + 1/56)/2 = 1/50
Total chance = 61/123750

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ AFFIX #2 ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

+30 Vitality

IntVit I = 12-55 Vit
IntVit II = 15-70 Vit

Rolling the suffix = 2/327 (1st)
Rolling 30 = (1/44 + 1/56)/2 = 1/50
Total chance = 1/8175

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ AFFIX #3 ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

Melee attackers take 596 damage per hit

Thorns 12 – 552-811 damage per hit

Rolling the prefix = 1/150.75 (2nd)
Rolling 596 = 1/260
Total chance = 1/39195

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ AFFIX #4 ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

Critical hit chance increased by 8.0%

CriticalChance VIII – 8.0 or 8.5%

Rolling the suffix = 1/320 (2nd)
Rolling 8.0% = 1/2
Total chance = 1/640

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ AFFIX #5 ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

Critical hits grant 9 arcane power

ArcanePowerOnCrit 5 – 9-10 Arcane Power

Rolling the suffix = 1/313 (3rd)
Rolling 9 = 1/2
Total chance = 1/626

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ AFFIX #6 ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

Socketed

Sockets I
Sockets II
Sockets IV
Sockets VI
Sockets VIII
Sockets X
Sockets XII

Rolling the suffix = 7/306 (4th)
Rolling 1 socket = 1/1
Total chance = 7/306

░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░ CALCULATIONS ░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░░

Number of combinations affixes can be picked out = 2! * 4! = 48

That multiplied by the chances above:
48 * 1/430 * 1/10 * 1/25730 * 61/123750 * 1/8175 * 1/39195 * 1/640 * 1/626 * 7/306 =
427/11,204,858,483,792,376,950,000,000,000

or

2.090*10^-31

or

1 out of 4,784,474,572,579,344,957,650,000,000,000

That’s one out of four quadrillion TIMES quadrillion.

Okay, now that was just the chance of ONE of these rares being an exact duplicate of Arcanum Mind.

But there’s 6 total that we know of… so the real chance of this being “possible” is:
3.989*10^-154

“Impossible” is the word that most vividly comes to mind. It’s like winning the Mega Millions Lotto 10^140 times.

It’s like snapping your fingers and having the person in front of you drop dead, just by chance, and repeating that miracle of coincidence 23 times… IN A ROW.

 

Glory To The Fallen

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Back in the early 2000s, reading the old battle.net forums and seeing lots of people crying about losing hardcore characters was  a real treat.

If nothing else, seeing the mad that comes from kids losing characters again is reason enough to justify Diablo 3′s existence.

Ok, maybe i’m not that angry, but i’m pretty close. Just lost my hardcore level 57 barbarian, not because i’m bad, not because of my gear, not because of anything to do with me, i dc’d, against a mob that had mabye 10k hp left (follower was there with 1.3k dps) so even if i stopped doing things for 10 seconds, i had 46k hp and 7k armor, so i wouldn’t have died before follower killed, but no, i log back in, and my character is dead, gone, for good…60 hours down the drain, all because of a DC.

 

Achievement Whores Already Complaining About Diablo 3

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Blizzard chooses to reward closed beta testers with a Feat of Strength, “One of the Chosen”

In celebration of a successful beta test, all players who were invited to participate in the Diablo III closed beta will receive the commemorative Feat of Strength, “One of the Chosen.” For eligible players, this feat will appear automatically in the Feat of Strength list after logging in for the first time as well as unlock a unique sigil that can be used on character banners.

In order to be eligible for “One of the Chosen,” you must have had a Diablo III closed beta license attached to your Battle.net account (it isn’t necessary to have downloaded or logged into the beta itself). Please note that players who participated only in the Open Beta Weekend, but were not invited to the closed beta, will not receive this Feat of Strength.

Thank you once again to all of our beta participants. We look forward to seeing you in Sanctuary!

 

As expected, the poor saps that were not l33t enough to join the closed beta are out in droves. Complaints of inequality abound. Nerds are threatening to cancel their preorders, etc.

 

Then, in a perfect troll, a guy named Downsy goes big:

 

Could this dude be related to Downey from Heroes of Newerth?

 

Regardless, big props to Blizzard for giving out Feats of Strength whose only purpose is to piss people off.

Diablo 3 Beta “Later This Month” and Leaked Beta Vid

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According to Mike Morhaime, we’re very close to general beta.

In an investor webcast yesterday, Blizzard president Mike Morhaime confirmed that Diablo III would enter a closed beta “later this month,” though it appears some friends and family may already have access. According to MMOsite, Blizzard has also issued beta invitations to members of variousDiablo/Warcraft fansites.

If Diablo III releases in December 2011 (as has been speculated for a while now), Blizzard will have had four solid months of beta testing to iron out any major kinks. Beta participants will have access to all five character classes and roughly four hours worth of early-game content. A version of Diablo III’s controversial Auction House, which allows for player-to-player transactions of in-game items, will also be in the beta, though it’s not clear if this feature will be available at launch.

You can join the opt-in pool for the Diablo III beta through Battle.net. If you don’t receive an invitation, you can always keep an eye out for footage and screenshots that will surely flood the Internet over the weeks to come.

 

And here’s the vid: